Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.191171 0.215876 0.242013 0.271671 0.304331 0.339143 0.378997
2025-06-29 0.156485 0.189484 0.226412 0.270604 0.321845 0.379180 0.447966
2025-07-06 0.131822 0.169680 0.214154 0.269841 0.337251 0.415742 0.513540
2025-07-13 0.114950 0.156287 0.206985 0.273021 0.355971 0.455869 0.584338
2025-07-20 0.103391 0.147677 0.204123 0.280248 0.378991 0.501402 0.663102
2025-07-27 0.091962 0.137660 0.198060 0.282198 0.394609 0.537682 0.731301
2025-08-03 0.083974 0.131220 0.195758 0.288314 0.415259 0.580613 0.809151
2025-08-10 0.077685 0.126353 0.194896 0.295848 0.437642 0.626222 0.891807
2025-08-17 0.069540 0.117843 0.188019 0.294184 0.446880 0.654183 0.951575
2025-08-24 0.062894 0.110844 0.182591 0.293901 0.457573 0.684039 1.014468
2025-08-31 0.056923 0.104244 0.177104 0.292914 0.466826 0.711827 1.075036
2025-09-07 0.053285 0.101006 0.176385 0.298793 0.486047 0.754013 1.156789
2025-09-14 0.048455 0.095445 0.171795 0.298729 0.496850 0.785211 1.225118
2025-09-21 0.044092 0.090223 0.167297 0.298409 0.507077 0.815783 1.293458
2025-09-28 0.040187 0.085390 0.163009 0.298031 0.517003 0.846061 1.362169
2025-10-05 0.037397 0.082294 0.161357 0.301733 0.533314 0.886268 1.446634
2025-10-12 0.035564 0.080802 0.162315 0.309729 0.556669 0.937792 1.549438
2025-10-19 0.032997 0.077605 0.159986 0.311924 0.570597 0.975150 1.631777
2025-10-26 0.031302 0.075966 0.160306 0.318617 0.592058 1.024752 1.734097
2025-11-02 0.029940 0.074865 0.161501 0.326833 0.616277 1.079321 1.845469
2025-11-09 0.027414 0.071029 0.157257 0.325034 0.623416 1.106841 1.915309
2025-11-16 0.025297 0.067839 0.153983 0.324733 0.632967 1.138362 1.992108
2025-11-23 0.023281 0.064645 0.150439 0.323663 0.641018 1.167537 2.065785